Climate tipping points and expert judgment

Expert judgment can be seen throughout climate science and even more prominently when discussing tipping points. To provide an accurate characterization of expert we begin by evaluating the existing literature on expertise as it relates to a whole, before then focusing review role in unique context From this turn our attention structured elicitation protocols specifically developed for producing judgments about We highlight that is not only used quantification uncertainty context, but also very identification points their interactions, making itself genuine scientific output. The central domain raises several epistemic issues require careful attention. Among other topics, discuss relationship between modeling, well nonepistemic values are involved production judgments, highlighting how manage these values. In perspective change, clarifying foundations help navigate situation self-defeating alarmism blind dismissal, thus contributing better understanding challenges related (and Earth system) This article categorized under: Climate, History, Society, Culture > Ideas Knowledge Social Status Climate Change Science Decision Making